Greece’s ruling New Democracy party has widened its lead in the latest opinion polls as the escalating conflict in the Middle East becomes a primary driver of voter sentiment and economic concern.
A new survey conducted by Pulse for Skai TV reveals that Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s center-right party has gained 1.5 percentage points over the last month, rising to 25.5% in vote intention.
This maintains a commanding lead over the socialist PASOK, which sits at 11%. The nationalist Plefsi Eleftherias followed at 8%, while the Communist Party (KKE) and SYRIZA trailed at 6.5% and 5%, respectively.
The poll highlights a nation on edge, with 79% of respondents expressing deep concern over regional instability following recent military escalations involving Iran and Israel.
Nearly half of those surveyed described their anxiety as "very high," with 39% citing the conflict’s impact on the Greek economy—specifically rising energy costs—as their chief worry.
Mr. Mitsotakis has leaned into a message of regional stability, a strategy that appears to be resonating.
The poll shows 72% of Greeks approve of the government’s recent diplomatic and military support for Cyprus. Overall, 47% of participants view Greece’s international actions positively, a figure that jumps to 94% among New Democracy’s core supporters.
The survey also gauged interest in potential political shifts.
Support for a hypothetical new party led by former Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras rose to 22%, up from 19% in February.
Conversely, a potential movement led by activist Maria Karystianou saw a sharp decline of five percentage points.
With 18% of the electorate still undecided—the so-called "grey zone"—the ruling party’s estimated vote share now reaches 31.5% when those votes are factored in.
As the Mediterranean enters an increasingly volatile period, the "stability card" remains Mr. Mitsotakis’s most effective tool in consolidating his base.