Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis's New Democracy holds a 12-point lead over its nearest rival in a Pulse poll for SKAI TV released this week.
Still, the survey's most striking finding is that 49 percent of respondents believe Alexis Tsipras's new ELAS party offers little or no difference from his former SYRIZA leadership.
New Democracy stands at 25.5 percent in voting intention, with ELAS second at 13.5 percent. PASOK and Maria Karystianou's "Hope for Democracy" are in a statistical tie for third at 10 and 9.5 percent respectively.
In vote estimation — which calculates the likely final outcome — New Democracy reaches 29.5 percent, ELAS 15.5 percent, PASOK 11.5 percent and Mrs. Karystianou's party 11 percent.
Mr. Mitsotakis leads the "suitability for prime minister" category with 30 percent. Mr. Tsipras follows at 17 percent — a figure matched exactly by the "none of the above" option, underlining the scepticism about his relaunch.
On voter motivation, 54 percent say they will vote based on "prospects for the future," compared to only 11 percent who cite "anger" — a notable shift from the protest-driven politics that defined the debt-crisis era.
A further disruption may be coming: 11 percent of respondents said they would likely vote for a party led by former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras if he chose to launch one — a figure that would further fragment the already crowded opposition space.